Tufts/CfA/MIT Cosmology Seminar, at Tufts:

Tuesday, May 11, 1999
2:30 pm
Robinson Hall, Room 250
Refreshments at 2:00 in Knipp Library, Room 251

"How Rare are Extraterrestrial Civilizations and When did They Emerge?"


Mario Livio
Space Telescope Science Institute

Abstract:

I will show that contrary to an existing claim, the near equality between the lifetime of the sun and the timescale for biological evolution on earth does not necessarily imply that extraterrestrial civilizations are exceedingly rare. Furthermore, I will demonstrate that a near equality between these two timescales may be the most probable relation. A calculation of the cosmic history of carbon production suggests that the most likely time for intelligent civilizations to emerge, was when the universe was already older than about ten billion years (for an assumed current age of about thirteen billion years).